New Study Shows Marriage Vote in Three States Tied to Same Demographics; Ranks States by Likelihood of Passing Marriage Equality
Town-level vote totals in Maine, and county-level results in California and Washington, were merged with 21 demographic variables to assess whether there was a consistent explanation for the results in the three states. The study found, in all three states, higher levels of wealth and education were strong predictors of support for the equality position.
Portland, ME, December 03, 2009 --(PR.com)-- Today, Liberty For Maine released a proprietary study and report regarding marriage equality votes in California, Maine and Washington state.
Town-level vote totals in Maine, and county-level results in California and Washington, were merged with 21 demographic variables to assess whether there was a consistent explanation for the results in the three states. The study found, in all three states, higher levels of wealth and education were strong predictors of support for the equality position.
In addition, a predictive model was constructed to calculate the probability of marriage equality being passed in all states within the next 5-10 years. The model predicts that Hawaii, Colorado, New Jersey, Maryland and Alaska are the states most likely to pass marriage equality next. California ranked tenth, and New York fifteenth. Maine – where marriage equality lost at the polls last month – ranked twenty-fourth.
The study and analysis was conducted by James Oaksun, chair of Liberty For Maine and president of Virtual Galt Corporation. Oaksun stated that, “Marriage equality is getting strong support from educational and economic elites, across multiple states. The problem is getting the next tier of support. Until the issue gains more traction with middle class voters, marriage equality will face tough sledding in the political process.”'
In the report, Oaksun also offers five reasons why marriage equality lost in Maine, and suggests a strategy for the marriage equality movement going forward.
The report is available in .pdf form at http://bit.ly/marriage-oaksun.
Liberty For Maine (www.Liberty4Maine.org) has been formed to advance the interests of freedom and liberty in Maine in an active, creative and assertive manner, offer support to similar efforts underway in many other states and nationally, and engage in other activities as appropriate. The group has declared its support for the Statement of Principles of the national Libertarian Party.
Based in Portland, Maine, Virtual Galt (www.VirtualGalt.com) is an economic and financial consultancy focused on the needs of gay men and lesbians at midlife. The company’s holistic Financial Freud(SM) process examines all aspects of a person’s life and makes recommendations that enhance financial as well as personal freedom. Among other efforts, the company is working on developing the first-ever stock index fund of companies with superior LGBT employee policies.
###
Town-level vote totals in Maine, and county-level results in California and Washington, were merged with 21 demographic variables to assess whether there was a consistent explanation for the results in the three states. The study found, in all three states, higher levels of wealth and education were strong predictors of support for the equality position.
In addition, a predictive model was constructed to calculate the probability of marriage equality being passed in all states within the next 5-10 years. The model predicts that Hawaii, Colorado, New Jersey, Maryland and Alaska are the states most likely to pass marriage equality next. California ranked tenth, and New York fifteenth. Maine – where marriage equality lost at the polls last month – ranked twenty-fourth.
The study and analysis was conducted by James Oaksun, chair of Liberty For Maine and president of Virtual Galt Corporation. Oaksun stated that, “Marriage equality is getting strong support from educational and economic elites, across multiple states. The problem is getting the next tier of support. Until the issue gains more traction with middle class voters, marriage equality will face tough sledding in the political process.”'
In the report, Oaksun also offers five reasons why marriage equality lost in Maine, and suggests a strategy for the marriage equality movement going forward.
The report is available in .pdf form at http://bit.ly/marriage-oaksun.
Liberty For Maine (www.Liberty4Maine.org) has been formed to advance the interests of freedom and liberty in Maine in an active, creative and assertive manner, offer support to similar efforts underway in many other states and nationally, and engage in other activities as appropriate. The group has declared its support for the Statement of Principles of the national Libertarian Party.
Based in Portland, Maine, Virtual Galt (www.VirtualGalt.com) is an economic and financial consultancy focused on the needs of gay men and lesbians at midlife. The company’s holistic Financial Freud(SM) process examines all aspects of a person’s life and makes recommendations that enhance financial as well as personal freedom. Among other efforts, the company is working on developing the first-ever stock index fund of companies with superior LGBT employee policies.
###
Contact
Liberty For Maine
James Oaksun
6033973387
www.Liberty4Maine.org
James Oaksun
6033973387
www.Liberty4Maine.org
Contact
Categories